Challenge League . Jor. 32

Winterthur vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis

Winterthur Neuchâtel Xamax
60 ELO 57
2.2% Tilt 14.7%
743º General ELO ranking 2265º
10º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
55.3%
Winterthur
23.4%
Draw
21.3%
Neuchâtel Xamax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
Winterthur
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.3%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Winterthur
+27%
+22%
Neuchâtel Xamax

ELO progression

Winterthur
Neuchâtel Xamax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Winterthur
Winterthur
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2021
WIN
Winterthur
3 - 3
Aarau
FCA
32%
24%
44%
61 64 3 0
19 Apr. 2021
WIN
Winterthur
1 - 2
Thun
THU
26%
24%
50%
62 69 7 -1
16 Apr. 2021
WIN
Winterthur
1 - 1
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
STA
43%
25%
32%
62 61 1 0
10 Apr. 2021
WIN
Winterthur
1 - 0
FC Wil
WIL
53%
24%
23%
61 57 4 +1
06 Apr. 2021
FCA
Aarau
3 - 0
Winterthur
WIN
48%
22%
31%
63 63 0 -2

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2021
SCH
Schaffhausen
3 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
46%
25%
29%
57 57 0 0
20 Apr. 2021
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
0 - 3
Kriens
KRI
49%
25%
27%
58 55 3 -1
16 Apr. 2021
THU
Thun
0 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
60%
22%
18%
58 69 11 0
10 Apr. 2021
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
0 - 1
Aarau
FCA
27%
24%
49%
58 65 7 0
03 Apr. 2021
GCZ
Grasshopper
1 - 4
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
64%
22%
15%
57 70 13 +1
X