Winterthur vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
WIN
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
WIN
0 - 1
WOH
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
WIN
2 - 0
FCV
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
LOC
0 - 5
WIN
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
WIN
2 - 1
STA
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
WOH
0 - 0
BEL
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 3
WIL
61%
22%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2012 |
BEL
3 - 1
LUG
53%
24%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
BIE
1 - 2
BEL
37%
26%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
BEL
5 - 0
WOH
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +2 |