Wingate & Finchley vs East Thurrock United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
64%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
WIN
1 - 1
HEN
43%
23%
35%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
LEW
0 - 0
WIN
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
BRE
0 - 1
WIN
30%
24%
46%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
WIN
1 - 1
LEA
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
DUL
2 - 1
WIN
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
EAS
3 - 0
GRA
78%
15%
8%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
MET
0 - 3
EAS
14%
19%
68%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
EAS
0 - 0
STA
79%
14%
7%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
LEA
2 - 1
EAS
13%
18%
69%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
EAS
3 - 0
TON
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |