Wilmington Hammerheads vs Salem City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wilmington Hammerheads
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
TRF
4 - 2
WIL
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
MBM
4 - 2
WIL
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
CAR
4 - 1
WIL
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
TRF
4 - 4
WIL
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
WIL
3 - 1
NOC
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Salem City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
MBM
4 - 3
CAR
68%
19%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
CAR
4 - 1
WIL
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +3 |
| 16 Jun. 2017 |
NOC
3 - 1
CAR
49%
24%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 3
CHA
18%
22%
60%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
NOC
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |