Willem II vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
WIL
0 - 0
ZWO
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
SCH
2 - 2
WIL
38%
24%
38%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
AZA
1 - 3
WIL
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 2
HIB
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
WIL
0 - 0
FOR
55%
23%
23%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
HER
2 - 3
FEY
21%
22%
57%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
HER
0 - 2
VIT
33%
24%
44%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
FCE
1 - 0
HER
20%
23%
57%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2020 |
HER
2 - 3
SCH
35%
22%
44%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2020 |
HER
1 - 1
SIO
50%
23%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |