Willem II vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
63.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
EXC
4 - 0
WIL
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
WIL
3 - 3
UTR
18%
26%
56%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
GRO
7 - 1
WIL
78%
16%
6%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
PSV
2 - 1
WIL
83%
12%
4%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
WIL
1 - 0
VIT
28%
24%
48%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
SCH
0 - 2
AZA
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 2
SCH
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
SCH
0 - 0
NEC
65%
20%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 4
GRO
48%
23%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
ADO
3 - 1
SCH
29%
25%
46%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |