Willem II vs Fortuna 54 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
NAC
2 - 0
WIL
55%
21%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
WIL
0 - 0
FEY
24%
23%
53%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
FCB
2 - 0
WIL
57%
20%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
AJA
3 - 2
WIL
76%
14%
10%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
WIL
3 - 1
VOL
56%
20%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
FOR
2 - 2
AJA
29%
22%
50%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
VOL
2 - 1
FOR
46%
23%
31%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
FOR
2 - 2
MVV
60%
20%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
GRO
0 - 0
FOR
52%
22%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
FOR
2 - 2
DWS
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |