Willem II vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
63.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
AZA
3 - 0
WIL
77%
17%
6%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
WIL
2 - 4
PSV
20%
24%
56%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
VIT
0 - 0
WIL
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
WIL
76%
17%
7%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
ZWO
2 - 2
WIL
70%
19%
12%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
TWE
3 - 2
ADO
72%
18%
10%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
TWE
1 - 1
BRE
35%
25%
41%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
FEY
0 - 1
TWE
31%
27%
42%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
TWE
4 - 2
GRO
64%
21%
16%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
TOT
4 - 1
TWE
59%
23%
19%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |