Willem II vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
AZA
2 - 0
WIL
79%
14%
6%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
WIL
1 - 4
UTR
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2007 |
WIL
1 - 2
VVV
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2007 |
VIT
1 - 0
WIL
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
WIL
0 - 0
NAC
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 4
PSV
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
GRA
1 - 1
EXC
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
EXC
4 - 3
SPA
49%
23%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
BVO
1 - 2
EXC
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 1
HER
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |