Willem II vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2003 |
AZA
3 - 2
WIL
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
WIL
1 - 5
SCH
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2003 |
RKC
3 - 1
WIL
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
WIL
3 - 0
GRA
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2003 |
UTR
1 - 1
WIL
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2003 |
PSV
7 - 0
EXC
74%
16%
10%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2003 |
EXC
3 - 4
GRA
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
TWE
1 - 0
EXC
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 0
SCH
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
GRO
1 - 0
EXC
48%
24%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |