FC Wil vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
56.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
FCA
1 - 3
WIL
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FCA
0 - 0
WIL
51%
21%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
WIL
0 - 0
SCA
36%
24%
40%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
ZUR
1 - 0
WIL
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 2
SCH
56%
23%
22%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
THU
2 - 2
STA
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
THU
0 - 1
FCL
44%
24%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
THU
1 - 5
KRI
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
SIO
3 - 1
THU
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2020 |
THU
4 - 3
FCV
44%
23%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |