FC Wil vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
7º
5º
54
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 1
WIL
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 1
WIL
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 2
SCH
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
NEX
1 - 4
WIL
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 0
FCV
28%
24%
48%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 2
BEL
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
THU
2 - 1
ETO
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 1
FCA
40%
24%
36%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 1
STA
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
NEX
0 - 3
ETO
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |