Widnau vs Bazenheid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
28.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
5º
3º
44
2º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Widnau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
WID
1 - 1
FCB
23%
20%
57%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FCT
2 - 1
WID
31%
22%
47%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
WID
1 - 0
WIL
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
UST
2 - 2
WID
21%
21%
58%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
WID
0 - 1
SVS
51%
20%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bazenheid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BAZ
3 - 1
FCT
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BAZ
3 - 1
WIL
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
UST
2 - 1
BAZ
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BAZ
2 - 0
SVS
43%
21%
36%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FRA
1 - 4
BAZ
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |