FA Cup . Previa 2
Global 4-2
Whitley Bay vs Penrith AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
36.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Whitley Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 1
WHI
50%
21%
29%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
WHI
4 - 1
SEA
69%
16%
15%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SEA
1 - 1
WHI
22%
20%
58%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 1
WHI
11%
17%
72%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
WHI
2 - 2
NOR
84%
11%
6%
|
19 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Penrith AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 1
WHI
50%
21%
29%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 1
WES
12%
16%
72%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | +3 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
DUN
19%
20%
61%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 3
PEN
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 0
SUN
34%
23%
44%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |