Whitehill Welfare vs Penicuik Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.8%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
78.8%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.9%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Whitehill Welfare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
WHI
1 - 2
CAM
23%
20%
57%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
COP
0 - 4
WHI
51%
21%
28%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
LIN
6 - 0
WHI
88%
8%
4%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
TRA
3 - 3
WHI
90%
7%
3%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 1
WHI
71%
18%
12%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Penicuik Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 3
PEN
20%
21%
59%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 2
HBH
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
EAS
1 - 6
PEN
10%
15%
76%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
PEN
4 - 2
BLU
89%
9%
3%
|
47 | 17 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
PEN
4 - 0
DUN
86%
10%
3%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | -1 |