MLS Normal Season Round 14

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps Seattle Sounders
78 ELO 83
-4.1% Tilt 3.5%
340º General ELO ranking 337º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
30.2%
Vancouver Whitecaps
26.6%
Draw
43.2%
Seattle Sounders

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
43.2%
Win probability
Seattle Sounders
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vancouver Whitecaps
-2%
+14%
Seattle Sounders

Points and table prediction

Vancouver Whitecaps
Their league position
Seattle Sounders
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
24º
13º
50
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cincinnati
69
69
100%
Orlando City
63
63
100%
Columbus Crew
57
57
100%
St. Louis City
56
56
100%
Philadelphia Union
55
55
100%
New England Revolution
55
55
100%
Seattle Sounders
11º
50
53
100%
Los Angeles FC
51
52
100%
Atlanta United
51
51
100%
Houston Dynamo
51
51
10º
100%
Real Salt Lake
10º
50
50
11º
100%
Nashville SC
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Vancouver Whitecaps
13º
47
48
13º
100%
FC Dallas
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Sporting Kansas City
20º
41
44
15º
0%
San Jose Earthquakes
15º
44
44
16º
0%
New York RB
16º
43
43
17º
100%
Charlotte FC
18º
43
43
18º
0%
Portland Timbers
17º
43
43
19º
0%
Minnesota United
21º
41
41
20º
0%
New York City
22º
41
41
21º
100%
CF Montréal
19º
41
41
22º
0%
DC United
23º
40
40
23º
100%
Chicago Fire
24º
40
40
24º
100%
Austin FC
25º
39
39
25º
100%
LA Galaxy
26º
36
36
26º
100%
Inter Miami
27º
34
34
27º
100%
Colorado Rapids
28º
27
27
28º
100%
Toronto FC
29º
22
22
29º
100%
Expected probabilities
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
Final Series
0% 100%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 May. 2023
DAL
FC Dallas
2 - 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
VAN
50%
25%
25%
78 80 2 0
14 May. 2023
POR
Portland Timbers
3 - 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
VAN
55%
23%
22%
78 82 4 0
11 May. 2023
YOR
York United
1 - 4
Vancouver Whitecaps
VAN
24%
24%
52%
77 64 13 +1
07 May. 2023
VAN
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 - 2
Minnesota United
MIN
36%
26%
39%
77 80 3 0
30 Apr. 2023
VAN
Vancouver Whitecaps
0 - 0
Colorado Rapids
COR
37%
26%
37%
77 79 2 0

Matches

Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 May. 2023
SES
Seattle Sounders
1 - 2
Austin FC
AUS
63%
22%
16%
83 76 7 0
14 May. 2023
HOD
Houston Dynamo
0 - 1
Seattle Sounders
SES
30%
27%
44%
83 76 7 0
11 May. 2023
GAL
LA Galaxy
3 - 1
Seattle Sounders
SES
41%
25%
34%
83 79 4 0
07 May. 2023
SES
Seattle Sounders
1 - 2
Sporting Kansas City
KCW
57%
23%
20%
83 79 4 0
30 Apr. 2023
RSL
Real Salt Lake
0 - 0
Seattle Sounders
SES
31%
26%
43%
83 77 6 0