Weston Bears vs Lake Macquarie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weston Bears
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
EDG
2 - 0
WBE
64%
19%
16%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
MAI
0 - 1
WBE
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
BRO
2 - 0
WBE
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
WBE
2 - 0
ADR
85%
11%
5%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 1
WBE
16%
20%
65%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Lake Macquarie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2021 |
LAK
0 - 1
CHA
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
HAM
3 - 2
LAK
79%
13%
9%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
LAM
2 - 1
LAK
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
LAK
3 - 2
EDG
8%
16%
76%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | +4 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LAK
2 - 3
MAI
11%
19%
70%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | 0 |