Western Spirit vs Centenary Stormers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-82%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
WES
1 - 3
BAY
13%
17%
70%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 3
WES
86%
9%
5%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
STO
2 - 3
WES
54%
19%
27%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
WES
2 - 1
UNI
37%
22%
41%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ACA
4 - 2
WES
76%
13%
11%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Centenary Stormers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
STO
1 - 1
NEW
12%
15%
73%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NPI
0 - 4
STO
22%
21%
57%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
STO
2 - 3
WES
54%
19%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PIN
1 - 2
STO
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
6 - 0
STO
88%
8%
4%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |