Westchester Flames vs Long Island Rough Riders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
76.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Westchester Flames
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
WES
1 - 3
CSR
20%
20%
60%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 0
WES
61%
20%
20%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
WES
3 - 0
MOE
24%
21%
56%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
NEW
5 - 1
WES
90%
7%
3%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
MOE
1 - 1
WES
75%
14%
10%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Long Island Rough Riders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
LON
3 - 1
NJC
81%
14%
6%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2022 |
CSR
2 - 4
LON
17%
22%
61%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
LON
5 - 0
HVH
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
LON
5 - 0
MOE
86%
10%
4%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
LON
1 - 2
SEA
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |