West Bromwich Albion vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Bromwich Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
WBA
2 - 3
REA
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
BRI
2 - 1
WBA
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
WBA
37%
27%
37%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
REA
2 - 2
WBA
37%
26%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
WBA
2 - 0
SCU
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
DER
0 - 1
SWA
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
DER
5 - 3
PNE
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
DER
1 - 2
BIR
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
DER
3 - 0
NEW
25%
27%
48%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
SHE
1 - 1
DER
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |