Europa League Eliminatorias. Last 16
Global 5-5
Werder Bremen vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
HOF
0 - 1
BRE
21%
22%
57%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
VCF
1 - 1
BRE
52%
22%
26%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
BRE
2 - 2
STU
61%
20%
18%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
M05
1 - 2
BRE
19%
21%
60%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
BRE
4 - 1
TWE
60%
22%
18%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
FCB
3 - 0
VCF
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
VCF
1 - 1
BRE
52%
22%
26%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2010 |
VCF
0 - 0
RAC
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ATM
4 - 1
VCF
48%
24%
28%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
VCF
3 - 0
BRU
76%
15%
9%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |