Werder Bremen vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
S04
1 - 4
BRE
36%
24%
41%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 1
FCN
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
STP
1 - 1
BRE
28%
24%
48%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 1
SVS
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 0
DAR
40%
25%
34%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 1
HEI
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SGD
0 - 0
HOL
25%
25%
50%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 0
HSV
26%
24%
49%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
DAR
3 - 1
HOL
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 0
ING
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |