Bundesliga . Jor. 19

Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV analysis

Werder Bremen Hamburger SV
86 ELO 80
4.3% Tilt 4.2%
218º General ELO ranking 275º
15º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
61.2%
Werder Bremen
21.3%
Draw
17.5%
Hamburger SV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
Werder Bremen
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.5%
Win probability
Hamburger SV
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Werder Bremen
+14%
+1%
Hamburger SV

ELO progression

Werder Bremen
Hamburger SV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 1996
BRE
Werder Bremen
1 - 0
KFC Uerdingen 05
KFC
73%
18%
9%
86 73 13 0
24 Feb. 1996
KSC
Karlsruher SC
1 - 1
Werder Bremen
BRE
49%
24%
27%
86 84 2 0
09 Dec. 1995
S04
Schalke 04
2 - 1
Werder Bremen
BRE
35%
26%
38%
86 80 6 0
05 Dec. 1995
BRE
Werder Bremen
0 - 0
PSV
PSV
41%
25%
35%
86 88 2 0
01 Dec. 1995
BRE
Werder Bremen
0 - 1
Köln
KOL
66%
20%
15%
86 80 6 0

Matches

Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 1996
S04
Schalke 04
3 - 0
Hamburger SV
HSV
44%
26%
30%
81 80 1 0
11 Feb. 1996
HSV
Hamburger SV
2 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
26%
25%
50%
80 88 8 +1
08 Dec. 1995
HSV
Hamburger SV
5 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
EIN
40%
26%
34%
80 83 3 0
02 Dec. 1995
STU
Stuttgart
3 - 0
Hamburger SV
HSV
60%
21%
20%
80 82 2 0
24 Nov. 1995
HSV
Hamburger SV
1 - 0
FC St Pauli
STP
59%
23%
18%
80 74 6 0
X