Werder Bremen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
18.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 2
BYM
8%
14%
79%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SCF
1 - 1
BRE
26%
23%
50%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 3
MON
34%
24%
42%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
M05
2 - 1
BRE
23%
23%
54%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
WEI
1 - 5
BRE
6%
14%
80%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
F95
0 - 1
M05
28%
24%
48%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
BYM
3 - 3
F95
88%
9%
3%
|
71 | 93 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
SFB
1 - 5
F95
3%
8%
90%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
F95
4 - 1
HER
16%
22%
62%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MON
3 - 0
F95
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |