Werder Bremen vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
BVB
1 - 2
BRE
29%
25%
47%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
BRE
2 - 1
WOL
62%
20%
18%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
BRE
2 - 1
INT
24%
22%
55%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
KSC
1 - 0
BRE
17%
21%
62%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
BRE
5 - 0
EIN
71%
17%
12%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
HAN
1 - 1
ARB
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ARB
0 - 0
BVB
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
HOF
3 - 0
ARB
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
ARB
2 - 1
LEV
20%
24%
56%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
STU
0 - 0
ARB
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |