3. Liga Round 12

Werder Bremen II vs Mainz 05 II analysis

Werder Bremen II Mainz 05 II
53 ELO 62
11.4% Tilt 8.8%
1416º General ELO ranking 3254º
66º Country ELO ranking 143º
ELO win probability
28.5%
Werder Bremen II
26.5%
Draw
45%
Mainz 05 II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
Werder Bremen II
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
45%
Win probability
Mainz 05 II
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Werder Bremen II
Mainz 05 II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Werder Bremen II
Werder Bremen II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Sep. 2015
ERF
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
2 - 1
Werder Bremen II
WER
58%
23%
20%
53 60 7 0
22 Sep. 2015
WER
Werder Bremen II
0 - 0
Würzburger Kickers
WUR
46%
25%
29%
53 56 3 0
19 Sep. 2015
STU
Stuttgart II
1 - 1
Werder Bremen II
WER
46%
25%
29%
53 54 1 0
12 Sep. 2015
WER
Werder Bremen II
0 - 4
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
SGS
40%
25%
34%
54 59 5 -1
05 Sep. 2015
PRE
Preußen Münster
3 - 1
Werder Bremen II
WER
61%
22%
17%
54 64 10 0

Matches

Mainz 05 II
Mainz 05 II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2015
MAI
Mainz 05 II
2 - 0
Hallescher FC
HAL
47%
26%
27%
62 61 1 0
22 Sep. 2015
MAI
Mainz 05 II
1 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
33%
27%
40%
62 69 7 0
19 Sep. 2015
ERF
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
3 - 0
Mainz 05 II
MAI
39%
27%
34%
63 59 4 -1
15 Sep. 2015
STU
Stuttgart II
1 - 1
Mainz 05 II
MAI
26%
27%
46%
63 54 9 0
12 Sep. 2015
MAI
Mainz 05 II
1 - 0
Würzburger Kickers
WUR
59%
23%
18%
63 57 6 0