Hogo Wels II vs Zebau Bad Ischl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
41%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
15º
15º
36
3º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 55.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
98.5% | 44.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hogo Wels II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
SVW
5 - 1
WEL
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
WEL
1 - 4
PWD
20%
19%
61%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
OED
3 - 0
WEL
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
ASV
3 - 0
WEL
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 3
UMA
34%
21%
46%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Zebau Bad Ischl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
SVZ
1 - 3
OST
55%
20%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
UNP
3 - 1
SVZ
40%
23%
37%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SVZ
2 - 2
STM
20%
21%
60%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
SVZ
5 - 1
FRI
42%
22%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
SVZ
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |