Watford vs Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
REA
0 - 1
WAT
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
WAT
2 - 1
WIG
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
FUL
0 - 5
WAT
59%
22%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
WAT
0 - 1
CAR
50%
25%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
WAT
1 - 2
DER
37%
26%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
WOL
1 - 1
BHA
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
SHW
0 - 1
WOL
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
WOL
1 - 2
BOU
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BRE
4 - 0
WOL
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
WOL
0 - 3
NTT
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |