Watford vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
17.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
PLY
3 - 3
WAT
46%
25%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 1
STO
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 4
BRI
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
BBU
1 - 2
WAT
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
PNE
1 - 5
WAT
44%
27%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
CHE
3 - 2
SOL
74%
17%
10%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
SOL
2 - 0
CHE
16%
23%
61%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
CHE
4 - 1
ALD
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 1
CHE
15%
22%
63%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CHE
6 - 1
SOU
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |