Watford vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
64.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
EVE
2 - 0
WAT
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
WAT
0 - 0
BOU
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
TOT
1 - 1
WAT
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
WAT
0 - 0
SHE
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
WOL
2 - 0
WAT
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
CHL
1 - 2
MUD
57%
23%
20%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
BUR
2 - 4
CHL
16%
22%
63%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
AJA
0 - 1
CHL
54%
22%
24%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CHL
1 - 0
NEW
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 4
CHL
17%
22%
61%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |