Watford vs Bradford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
OPA
2 - 0
WAT
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
WAT
4 - 1
DON
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
WAT
1 - 1
CAR
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BPO
0 - 0
WAT
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
WAT
1 - 1
LEE
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bradford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
ROT
3 - 0
BRA
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 1
STF
25%
27%
49%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 0
CRE
38%
26%
37%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
SOU
0 - 1
BRA
70%
19%
10%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 1
PLY
55%
23%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |