Waterford United vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
STP
1 - 1
WAT
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 0
GAL
44%
25%
32%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
BOH
0 - 1
WAT
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
WAT
1 - 2
SHR
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 1
SLR
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
DER
3 - 1
STP
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
DER
1 - 3
SHR
45%
28%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
DRO
2 - 2
DER
25%
27%
48%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
DER
4 - 1
DUN
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
SHE
0 - 0
DER
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |