Warta Sieradz vs Concordia Elblag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
39.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
18º
15º
33
13º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warta Sieradz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 0
WSI
63%
19%
18%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
WSI
0 - 0
PBI
33%
23%
44%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
WSI
0 - 1
KSB
45%
22%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LWA
4 - 1
WSI
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
WSI
2 - 2
MLA
13%
17%
70%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Concordia Elblag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CON
1 - 2
LWA
20%
21%
59%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MLA
3 - 3
CON
81%
12%
8%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
SWI
11%
18%
71%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | +5 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 0
CON
70%
18%
13%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
UWA
24%
24%
52%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |