Warta Poznan vs Polonia Środa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warta Poznan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
TKP
1 - 1
WAR
19%
23%
59%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
WAR
0 - 1
STO
20%
25%
56%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
TSP
1 - 0
WAR
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
WAR
1 - 2
TSP
31%
26%
43%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
NIE
2 - 2
WAR
19%
21%
60%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Polonia Środa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
PSR
1 - 0
OST
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
SWA
3 - 2
PSR
37%
23%
39%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2015 |
PSR
5 - 1
NIE
59%
22%
20%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
USK
1 - 2
PSR
16%
23%
62%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
PSR
1 - 2
WDA
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |