Warrington Town vs Lancaster City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
45%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warrington Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
MOS
1 - 0
WAR
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CLI
2 - 0
WAR
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
WAR
1 - 2
LEE
42%
25%
34%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
BAM
0 - 0
WAR
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
WAR
3 - 2
CUR
22%
24%
54%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +3 |
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 4
LAN
14%
19%
66%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LAN
0 - 1
SAL
64%
20%
17%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
LAN
4 - 1
GAR
48%
24%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
LAN
4 - 2
BAM
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 2
WAK
84%
12%
4%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |