Warrenpoint Town vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
13.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
2º
11º
2º
34
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warrenpoint Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 1
WAR
45%
25%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
WAR
2 - 1
BAL
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AUN
0 - 1
WAR
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
WAR
1 - 3
LOU
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
KNO
1 - 4
WAR
17%
22%
62%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
INS
2 - 2
DER
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
INS
2 - 0
AUN
18%
22%
60%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
6 - 2
INS
52%
23%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
INS
0 - 2
NEY
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LOU
5 - 1
INS
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |