Warrenpoint Town vs Harland & Wolff Welders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
2º
11º
2º
46
5º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warrenpoint Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
NEY
1 - 4
WAR
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 0
WAR
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
WAR
0 - 1
BAL
56%
22%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
INS
1 - 1
WAR
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NEY
0 - 1
WAR
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Harland & Wolff Welders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
HAR
3 - 1
BAL
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 2
HAR
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
HAR
2 - 1
LOU
20%
23%
56%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 3
HAR
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
HAR
3 - 2
DER
41%
24%
36%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |