Walton Casuals vs Merthyr Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
28%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walton Casuals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
WAL
2 - 1
FOL
23%
20%
57%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
WAL
3 - 0
MET
17%
19%
64%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +5 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
TIV
5 - 0
WAL
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
SHO
5 - 2
WAL
62%
21%
18%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
GOS
2 - 3
WAL
79%
14%
8%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
MER
0 - 3
POO
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 1
MER
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
MER
0 - 0
BEA
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
WIM
0 - 0
MER
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BLA
0 - 0
MER
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |