Walsall vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
WAL
1 - 1
LEE
36%
29%
36%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2007 |
WAL
1 - 0
NOR
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
CRE
0 - 0
WAL
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2007 |
WAL
1 - 0
NTT
36%
29%
35%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
NOR
1 - 1
WAL
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
MIL
2 - 3
OLD
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2007 |
LEY
0 - 1
MIL
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
MIL
2 - 1
BOU
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
MIL
2 - 1
YEO
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
BRO
2 - 1
MIL
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |