League One Round 5

Walsall vs Gillingham analysis

Walsall Gillingham
60 ELO 61
2% Tilt -13.7%
2263º General ELO ranking 3512º
62º Country ELO ranking 92º
ELO win probability
46.2%
Walsall
25.3%
Draw
28.4%
Gillingham

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
Walsall
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.4%
Win probability
Gillingham
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Walsall
+10%
+39%
Gillingham

ELO progression

Walsall
Gillingham
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Walsall
Walsall
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2009
CHA
Charlton Athletic
2 - 0
Walsall
WAL
69%
19%
12%
61 69 8 0
18 Aug. 2009
WAL
Walsall
1 - 2
Leeds United
LEE
32%
27%
41%
61 72 11 0
15 Aug. 2009
WAL
Walsall
2 - 2
Southend United
SOU
37%
26%
38%
61 66 5 0
11 Aug. 2009
STA
Accrington Stanley
2 - 1
Walsall
WAL
33%
27%
40%
62 52 10 -1
08 Aug. 2009
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 1
Walsall
WAL
54%
24%
21%
61 60 1 +1

Matches

Gillingham
Gillingham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2009
GIL
Gillingham
1 - 3
Blackburn Rovers
BBU
16%
23%
61%
62 86 24 0
22 Aug. 2009
GIL
Gillingham
0 - 1
Hartlepool United
HAR
52%
25%
23%
63 59 4 -1
18 Aug. 2009
COL
Colchester United
2 - 1
Gillingham
GIL
47%
26%
27%
63 64 1 0
15 Aug. 2009
TRA
Tranmere Rovers
4 - 2
Gillingham
GIL
49%
26%
26%
64 66 2 -1
11 Aug. 2009
GIL
Gillingham
2 - 1
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
43%
27%
30%
63 67 4 +1