Walsall vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
WAL
1 - 2
CHA
46%
27%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
CHE
2 - 0
WAL
45%
26%
30%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
OLD
0 - 0
WAL
37%
27%
35%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
WAL
0 - 2
YEO
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
WAL
3 - 1
AFC
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BCF
0 - 1
OLD
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
COV
0 - 0
BCF
56%
24%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
GIL
2 - 1
BCF
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
BUR
3 - 2
BCF
51%
25%
23%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BCF
2 - 0
CHA
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |