Roden vs TVC '28 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
68.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
12º
12º
48
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
61% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 34 |
6º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 33 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 29 |
8º
|
37.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 29 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
68% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GRC
2 - 4
VVR
68%
16%
15%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GVA
1 - 2
VVR
60%
19%
21%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VVR
1 - 2
VVE
42%
22%
37%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SVD
4 - 3
VVR
52%
21%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VVR
1 - 2
VVJ
19%
20%
62%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
TVC '28
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
TVC
2 - 0
ROL
84%
10%
6%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
RKS
3 - 0
TVC
7%
12%
81%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
TVC
5 - 0
GOM
66%
17%
17%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
WVV
3 - 3
TVC
21%
21%
58%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
TVC
2 - 0
CVV
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | +1 |