Assendelft vs HBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
30.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+580%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
10º
13º
12º
61
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
63.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
8º
|
84% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
81% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
81% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Assendelft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
HIL
3 - 0
ASS
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
FWO
0 - 0
ASS
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ASS
1 - 1
LSV
34%
22%
44%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
0 - 1
ASS
84%
10%
6%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ASS
3 - 3
SDZ
37%
22%
42%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
HBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SVH
3 - 1
LSV
24%
21%
55%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
0 - 0
SVH
86%
10%
5%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SVH
4 - 0
SDZ
26%
20%
54%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UIT
0 - 4
SVH
71%
16%
12%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SVH
4 - 0
SVD
77%
14%
9%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |