VUC vs Excelsior .20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
28.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VUC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PAP
0 - 2
VUC
29%
25%
46%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SJC
1 - 2
VUC
73%
16%
12%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VUC
1 - 1
HVV
66%
19%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
UVS
1 - 0
VUC
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VUC
0 - 3
VEL
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Excelsior .20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 2
PAP
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
NIE
2 - 3
EXC
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SJC
3 - 3
EXC
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
EXC
3 - 0
ADO
47%
24%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
HVV
1 - 1
EXC
29%
24%
47%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |