Vitória vs Serrano SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.5%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.9%
2.6%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
CEA
5 - 1
VIT
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 1
BAH
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SDJ
1 - 2
VIT
9%
18%
73%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 1
CEA
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 0
CAT
89%
9%
3%
|
78 | 41 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Serrano SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 0
SER
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SER
2 - 3
JAC
41%
25%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
GAL
1 - 1
SER
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SER
1 - 4
VIT
9%
17%
74%
|
46 | 78 | 32 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
SER
2 - 1
CAT
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |