Vitória vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1973 |
ATP
0 - 0
VIT
60%
22%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
SAO
5 - 2
VIT
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1972 |
SCI
1 - 0
VIT
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1972 |
VIT
2 - 0
AME
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1972 |
VIT
0 - 0
POR
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1972 |
BOT
2 - 1
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1972 |
SAN
0 - 1
GRE
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1972 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAN
76%
14%
9%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
CEA
2 - 1
SAN
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1972 |
ABC
0 - 2
SAN
21%
24%
56%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |