Vitória vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1974 |
COT
1 - 1
VIT
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1974 |
VIT
1 - 0
GRE
39%
27%
35%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1974 |
REM
3 - 1
VIT
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1974 |
VIT
2 - 0
ITA
74%
18%
8%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1974 |
VIT
3 - 1
BOT
41%
26%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1974 |
BOT
0 - 2
FLA
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1974 |
ITA
0 - 1
FLA
27%
31%
42%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1974 |
FLA
3 - 0
REM
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1974 |
COT
2 - 1
FLA
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1974 |
FLA
0 - 0
FLU
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |