Vitória vs Flamengo BA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.3%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
14%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.9%
2.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 1
ARN
82%
13%
5%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
LUZ
0 - 2
VIT
8%
17%
75%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
BOT
4 - 2
VIT
17%
23%
60%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 0
VIT
85%
11%
4%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SDJ
1 - 2
VIT
8%
17%
75%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo BA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
FLA
0 - 1
SDJ
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 1
GAL
53%
22%
24%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 0
FLA
87%
9%
4%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
VIT
9%
16%
75%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
JEC
1 - 0
FLA
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |