Copa do Nordeste . Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Vitória vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
5 - 0
VIT
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 0
VIT
24%
26%
50%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 1
VIT
15%
22%
63%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 2
PAR
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
BAH
1 - 2
VIT
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
BAH
1 - 0
FLU
79%
16%
6%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
FLU
0 - 3
BAH
12%
21%
67%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
BAH
1 - 2
VIT
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
AEC
0 - 3
BAH
6%
14%
79%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BAH
3 - 0
SER
80%
15%
5%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |