Vitória vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
VIT
2 - 0
NAU
47%
27%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1975 |
GOI
1 - 0
VIT
49%
27%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
CEB
1 - 0
VIT
39%
29%
33%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1975 |
SAO
3 - 0
VIT
66%
20%
15%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIT
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
CSA
0 - 0
POR
36%
31%
33%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
CSA
1 - 0
GOI
51%
25%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1975 |
FLA
3 - 1
CSA
77%
16%
7%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
SAN
2 - 0
CSA
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1975 |
CSA
1 - 1
FFL
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |