Série A Primera Fase Grupo C/D. Jor. 9

Vitória vs CSA analysis

Vitória CSA
79 ELO 59
-20.9% Tilt -16.1%
415º General ELO ranking 1205º
30º Country ELO ranking 44º
ELO win probability
65.5%
Vitória
22.1%
Draw
12.4%
CSA

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
Vitória
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
12.4%
Win probability
CSA
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vitória
+9%
-11%
CSA

ELO progression

Vitória
CSA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vitória
Vitória
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 1975
VIT
Vitória
2 - 0
Náutico
NAU
47%
27%
25%
78 78 0 0
18 Sep. 1975
GOI
Goiás EC
1 - 0
Vitória
VIT
49%
27%
23%
79 79 0 -1
13 Sep. 1975
CEB
CEUB
1 - 0
Vitória
VIT
39%
29%
33%
79 72 7 0
10 Sep. 1975
SAO
São Paulo
3 - 0
Vitória
VIT
66%
20%
15%
79 87 8 0
07 Sep. 1975
BAH
Bahía
1 - 1
Vitória
VIT
43%
26%
31%
79 78 1 0

Matches

CSA
CSA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 1975
CSA
CSA
0 - 0
Portuguesa
POR
36%
31%
33%
59 77 18 0
14 Sep. 1975
CSA
CSA
1 - 0
Goiânia
GOI
51%
25%
25%
59 60 1 0
11 Sep. 1975
FLA
Flamengo
3 - 1
CSA
CSA
77%
16%
7%
59 81 22 0
06 Sep. 1975
SAN
Santos FC
2 - 0
CSA
CSA
81%
13%
6%
59 86 27 0
03 Sep. 1975
CSA
CSA
1 - 1
Figueirense
FFL
37%
28%
35%
59 71 12 0
X